Warren Buffett's owner earnings calculator
Bridge net income to Buffett-style owner earnings by adding qualifying noncash charges and subtracting maintenance capital and working capital needs.
Warren Buffett Historical strategy from 1987 Rule located in Berkshire Hathaway, 1987 Portrait: USA International Trade Administration, Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons. Self-hosted by JMM.
Put your numbers through the rule
The source establishes the rule. The values below belong to you, and the output is JMM's deterministic calculation.
Every field recalculates immediately. Changed values can be copied into a shareable URL.
- Per share
- $11.20
- Owner-earnings yield
- 11.8%
- GAAP-to-owner bridge
- -$80m
Maintenance capex and required working capital are analyst inputs, not standardized reported facts.
Owner-earnings bridge
- Net income
- $1,200m
- Additions
- $300m
- Deductions
- $380m
What the source says, and what the calculator adds
What changes the answer
Maintenance capex is the key judgment
Changing it can materially alter owner earnings. The sensitivity view keeps that estimate visible instead of burying it in a single cash-flow number.
Cash flow and owner earnings answer different questions
Adding every noncash charge without deducting required reinvestment can overstate what owners could safely withdraw.
The right question, built on a number no outsider can actually observe.
Owner earnings asks the only thing that matters about a business: how much cash could leave without the business getting weaker. The concept is sound and it is why Buffett refuses to treat reported cash flow as the answer. The problem is operational. Maintenance capital spending is not a disclosed line anywhere, so the whole calculation pivots on an estimate you make. Move it by 20% on this page and watch the yield move with it. JMM’s view is that owner earnings is a discipline for thinking, not an output to rank companies with, and anyone quoting a precise owner-earnings figure for a business they do not run is quoting their own assumption back to you.
Not the calculator’s limits. The rule’s.
Growth capex and maintenance capex are not separable from outside
Companies report one capital expenditure number. Splitting it is judgement, and the split is exactly where an optimistic analyst hides an optimistic conclusion.
The bridge was written for a different kind of business
The 1986 definition assumes heavy physical assets and depreciation that stands in for real wear. In a software business the maintenance spend is payroll, sits in operating costs, and never appears in the bridge at all.
What this model does not know
- Owner earnings is non-GAAP and depends on judgment.
- Maintenance capital spending is rarely disclosed as a clean fact.
- The output is not a complete valuation or investment recommendation.
Before you use the result
Is owner earnings the same as free cash flow?
Not necessarily. Definitions of free cash flow vary, while this page follows the components described in the cited letter.
Where should maintenance capex come from?
It requires company-specific analysis. The calculator deliberately treats it as an input, not a hidden fact.
The next question this page cannot answer
- Guide How to read a 10-K for the number that matters
Where each input on this page is found in a filing, and which line items are routinely mislabeled between them.
Open → - Guide How to audit quarterly revenue with SEC company facts
How to pull the same numbers from the SEC’s own structured data instead of retyping them from a press release.
Open → - Warren Buffett, sourced rule Five-year earnings range test
The companion test from the same source: whether earnings are stable enough for this calculation to mean anything.
Open →
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