Palantir
Government contracts meeting a commercial AI pivot.
In coverage since May 2026
Prediction record
Our call accuracy 5 of 7 right
17 of 25 tracked companies Market accuracy on Palantir 4 of 7 right
market baseline, same contracts Brier edge vs market −0.070 mean
22 of 25 in coverage, by edge Scored events
Q1 2026 Beats quarterly consensus we said 23% No
Q1 2026 Palantir closes above a key technical level by month-end we said 53% Yes
May 2026 10%+ single-day move in the stock this quarter we said 55% Yes
Jun 2026 Palantir announces a new buyback or capital-return plan we said 42% No
Jun 2026 Palantir guidance raise on the next print we said 29% No
Jul 2026 A 10%+ single-day drop in the stock this quarter we said 45% Yes
Q2 2026 Palantir beats EPS consensus we said 39% Yes
In the record
"Palantir's next product will be its biggest launch yet" (company press release) Unsupported