Meta
Ad revenue funding the next reality-labs bet.
In coverage since May 2026
Prediction record
Our call accuracy 4 of 4 right
2 of 25 tracked companies Market accuracy on Meta 3 of 4 right
market baseline, same contracts Brier edge vs market −0.038 mean
21 of 25 in coverage, by edge Scored events
Q1 2026 Beats ad revenue growth consensus we said 19% No
Q1 2026 Meta closes above a key technical level by month-end we said 49% No
May 2026 10%+ single-day move in the stock this quarter we said 84% Yes
Jun 2026 Meta announces a new buyback or capital-return plan we said 22% No
In the record
"Meta is overvalued at any price above today's" (bear case, forum consensus) Unsupported