JPMorgan
The bank whose numbers set the tone for the sector.
In coverage since May 2026
Prediction record
Our call accuracy 4 of 5 right
13 of 25 tracked companies Market accuracy on JPMorgan 3 of 5 right
market baseline, same contracts Brier edge vs market −0.046 mean
25 of 25 in coverage, by edge Scored events
Q1 2026 Beats trading and banking revenue consensus we said 80% Yes
Q1 2026 JPMorgan closes above a key technical level by month-end we said 36% No
May 2026 10%+ single-day move in the stock this quarter we said 80% Yes
Jun 2026 JPMorgan announces a new buyback or capital-return plan we said 29% Yes
Jun 2026 JPMorgan guidance raise on the next print we said 55% Yes
Open A 10%+ single-day drop in the stock this quarter we said 66% Open
In the record
"JPMorgan's next product will be its biggest launch yet" (company press release) Unsupported
"JPMorgan is overvalued at any price above today's" (bear case, forum consensus) Unsupported