Alphabet
Search dominance meeting an AI-answer threat, live.
In coverage since May 2026
Prediction record
Our call accuracy 4 of 4 right
13 of 25 tracked companies Market accuracy on Alphabet 3 of 4 right
market baseline, same contracts Brier edge vs market −0.034 mean
19 of 25 in coverage, by edge Scored events
Q1 2026 Beats search revenue consensus we said 71% Yes
Q1 2026 Alphabet closes above a key technical level by month-end we said 54% Yes
May 2026 10%+ single-day move in the stock this quarter we said 33% No
Jun 2026 Alphabet announces a new buyback or capital-return plan we said 83% Yes
In the record
"Alphabet never misses on search revenue" (trader shorthand) False